According to @cas_abbe, the December Fed rate path is nearly locked after PCE met expectations and Core PCE came in lower than expected, signaling cooler inflation pressures (source: @cas_abbe on X, Dec 5, 2025). The author states US companies cut 1.17 million jobs in 2025, indicating a very weak labor market and reinforcing recession risk as a spike in unemployment is a classic warning signal (source: @cas_abbe on X, Dec 5, 2025). He adds that aggressive Fed rate cuts have historically coincided with weak market performance and that simultaneous declines in inflation and growth reflect a deflationary backdrop (source: @cas_abbe on X, Dec 5, 2025). He argues rate cuts alone may be insufficient and that the Fed would need to inject liquidity to keep the economy moving; otherwise, crypto could face a highly volatile 2026 with BTC and ETH especially sensitive to liquidity and unemployment trends (source: @cas_abbe on X, Dec 5, 2025).